| Romanian and Serbian Foreign Trade,
Under the Impact of Recession, EU Post/Pre Accession and New Restructuring Process | Spoljna trgovina Rumunije i Srbije pod uticajem recesije i novih procesa restrukturiranja u periodu pre i posle pristupanja EU |
| Management, [pdf] | Menadžment, [pdf] |
| ID: 7.2012.65.3 Number: 65 Year: 2012 UDC: 339.5(498)”2004/2010” ; 339.5(497.11)”2004/2010” [tmx] [bow] |
Săvoiu, Gheorghe
Institution: University of Piteşti | Săvoiu, Gheorghe
Institucija: University of Piteşti |
Ţaicu Marian
Institution: University of Piteşti | Ţaicu Marian
Institucija: University of Piteşti |
Čudanov Mladen
Institution: Faculty of Organizational Sciences, University of Belgrade | Čudanov Mladen
Institucija: Fakultet organizacionih nauka, Univerzitet u Beogradu |
Abstract
This paper describes specific relations between the Romanian and the Serbian economies, especially the foreign
trade impact, some structural characteristics and the recent trends during the last years. The foreign trade
is one of the important activities of the national economy, providing factual transaction, change of ownership of
products, and thus outlining the actual goods. This activity, seen as an isolated one, can affect exponentially
the growth of an economy on the long term, but sometimes may make it go bankrupt in a short term, too. The
first section describes Romania’s economic evolution during this recession period, underlying the significance
of the foreign trade in the national external balance of the economy of Romania as a new EU member. The second
section analyses the Serbian Economy during the same period, Serbia being a pre-adherent country to EU.
These sections also analyze the concentration or specialization process in the structure of the Romanian and
Serbian foreign trade using statistical methods, indices and coefficients. A final remark is about the prognosis
of the two economies and stresses that the sustainable and vigorous growth in the new context becomes somehow
impossible, given the Romanian and Serbian reality and a goal within the timeframe of 2012-2013.
| Apstrakt
Ovaj rad opisuje specifične odnose između ekonomija Rumunije i Srbije, posebno uticaj spoljne trgovine, neke strukturne karakteristike i skorašnje trendove. Spoljna trgovina je jedna od važnih aktivnosti u nacionalnoj ekonomiji koja obezbeđuje stvarne transakcije, promenu vlasništva nad proizvodima, i stoga naglašava stvarna dobra. Ukoliko se aktivnost posmatra izolovano, može eksponencijalno uticati na rast ekonomije na dugi rok, ali nekada i voditi u bankrotstvo na kratki rok. Prvi deo opisuje ekonomski razvoj Rumunije tokom perioda recesije, naglašava važnost spoljne trgovine u spoljnom bilansu ekonomije Rumunije kao novog Člana EU. Drugi deo analizira ekonomiju Srbije tokom istog perioda kao zemlju u procesu pristupanja EU. Ovi de-lovi takođe analiziraju procese koncentracije ili specijalizacije u strukturi spoljne trgovine Rumunije i Srbije uz korišćenje statističkih metoda, indikatora i koeficijanata. Poslednji deo se bavi prognozom razvoja dve ekonomije i naglašava da održivi i brz rast u novom kontekstu postaje gotovo nemoguć, u skladu sa realnošću u ove dve zemlje i ciljevima u vremenskom opsegu 2012-2013.
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| Keywords: foreign trade, structure of import and export flux, Gini-Struck coefficient, concentration / specialization
of foreign trade, indices’ method. | Ključne reči: spoljna trgovina, struktura tokova uvoza i izvoza, Gini-Stuck koeficijent, koncetracija / specijalizacija spoljne trgovine, metod indikatora. |
| Pages: 25-32 | Strane: 25-32 |